Tuesday 25 September 2012

5 Thoughts on the T20 So Far.....

A few thoughts on the World T20 so far....

1. It's been pretty dull

T20 is supposed to be the format of cricket that appeals to a wider audience. Even as a massive fan of the game, I appreciate that most people do not want to spend five days watching Jonathan Trott nurdle the ball into the leg side or Stuart Broad maintaining a consistent line and length outside off stump. T20 has worked because it's both quick and exciting, with the greatest rewards being for players who can improvise and make things happen.

Therefore, having a group stage which is to all intensive purposes completely meaningless isn't the best way to start the tournament. Afghanistan, Ireland, Bangladesh and Zimbabwe have all bitten the dust, and due to the vagueries of the seeding system, the matches between the bigger nations are completely pointless given they have no bearing on the rest of the tournament. Essentially, the first round of matches have been glorified warm-ups.

2. The attendances are low and this is good news for the IPL


The somewhat pointless nature of the matches has been reflected in the attendances, with in particular the daytime games being watched by no-one in particular. Only India seem to have attracted full houses for both games (unsurprisingly) and again in leads to the general feel of a tournament that hasn't really started. This is supposed to be the biggest T20 tournament in the world, but at the minute it is failing to live up to either the cricket nor excitement of the IPL. And that is only a good thing for the IPL, which will attract more fans as it becomes clearer that it is where the future of T20 (and possibly cricket as a whole) lies.

3. England need to go back to move forward against spin

Mixed in with a dissappointing start to the tournament was England's horrifying attempts at playing what at the end of the day are two fairly ordinary spinners in international terms against India. Most worrying was that England seemed to have no clear gameplan of how to combat what is a well-known problem for them, with batsman falling into pre-meditated shots or being completely bamboozled by variation. Andy Flower remains one the finest players of spin I have seen but seems unable to transmit his ideas to a team of players who do not face this quality of spin often enough or bat on pitches that give spinners this much opportunity.

The best I have seen any England team play spin was under Duncan Fletcher, using the forward press technique (third of a stride forward when the bowler enters his action). This technique seems to have been lost since Fletcher left the scene but seems to have been the most effective technique England have found against spin, particularly for Trescothick and Vaughan in their pomp and hopefully come the tour of India it may make a comeback.

4. T20 has saved Shane Watson's career and continues to work for him


Someone who has provided some entertainment in between the one-sided games and the rain is Shane Watson, for whom T20 cricket has provided a career that in previous generations may have fizzled out into nothing. Watson's talent has never been in doubt but an almost interminable set of injuries completely derailed his career, and he looked set to be added to the list of players who never fulfilled their potential through any fault of their own. However, injury prone players now have an avenue to extend their careers via T20 and Watson has used it perfectly.

In 2008, Watson had spent two years injured when all and sundry expected him to take Andrew Symonds place in the test side. He missed the Australian 2007/08 summer, normally meaning that he had little chance of playing county cricket in England and thus would have to wait until the next Australian summer to prove his fitness. Watson instead was able to play in the 2008 IPL, playing every game bar one (rested) for Rajasthan, finishing in the top 4 for both runs and wickets, and winning player of the tournament. Crucially for his career, he proved he could have success opening the batting. When Phil Hughes disintegrated in the 2009 Ashes, Watson was now fit, and success opening the batting, admittedly in another format, and got his Test place. Three years later he is the reigning Australian player of the year and man of the match in both of their first two games. Not bad for a player who twenty years ago would have most likely been forced into injury retirement.

5. A bad tournament for the men could mean a good one for the women

Coinciding with the start of the next group phase in the beginning of the sister women's T20 tournament, held in the same venues with both semi-finals and final at the same ground as the men's semis and final earlier in the day. The general dullness and malaise of the men's tournament plays into the women's tournaments hands, where T20 is creating a new buzz around women's cricket. England's women in particular are benefitting from this, with a raised profile in this tournament due to a number of factors, including the Olympic summer, the novelty factor but maybe above all the fact that until their final game before the tournament they were unbeaten in T20 cricket for 18 months.






England are expected to win, and rightly so. They bat inventively, bowl to their plans and their fielding puts the men's subcontinent teams to shame. The general consensus from those more in the know than me is that England have reached a level in the past 12 months that deserves recognition well beyond what they currently receive, and at the centre of this is Sarah Taylor, the keeper/batsman who has several pundits saying she is good enough to play county cricket. If the men's tournament continues to flounder and the women's tournament can entertain, then England's women can ultimately benefit, if they win the tournament as expected.

Monday 17 September 2012

An Even Playing Field


The world T20 begins today, here's how I see the 12 teams fairing in what looks an incredibly even tournament:-

Going Home Early

Afghanistan

Very easy to lapse into clichés with Afghanistan, so may as well do it. They have done brilliantly to get this far, and in ten years they will most likely be a Test playing nation. As for now, their bowling might be quite effective in Sri Lankan conditions, but their batting is not up for dealing with the Indian pace bowlers let alone Steven Finn. Two brave defeats and then back to building for the future.

Ireland (Just)

Whereas the Afghans are genuine minnows, Ireland are very much knocking on the door. In Paul Stirling, they have an outstanding T20 batsman and are more than capable of beating either Australia or the West Indies. I don't think they will however, as their bowling will unlikely be able to cope with the power packed opposition. Watch out for Stirling though, particularly if they get set less than 150.

Zimbabwe

Somewhere between Ireland and Afghanistan, Zimbabwe would have been hoping for a slightly kinder draw. South Africa will efficiently see them off, and Sri Lanka should take advantage of home conditions to see them off. But, that aside, Zimbabwean cricket is back in an upswing and still have some dangerous players.

Bangladesh

Going home early will be Bangladesh, despite them getting the prime draw of New Zealand. They simply do not have the batting in any conditions to trouble the best sides, however well Shakib bowls. They're 50 over cricket is progressing well but it is at the expense of their T20 cricket and frankly if they were playing Ireland I know exactly who my money would be on.

Stay of Execution

New Zealand

Basically, it's McCullum and Taylor, and an awful lot of players who have a distinct journeyman feel to them. Vettori remains a good bowler but had a shocking IPL and gone are the days when their lack of ability could be hidden behind the brilliant leadership of Stephen Fleming. Will beat Bangladesh and quite possibly no-one else.

Sri Lanka

Essentially a better version of New Zealand. Dilshan, Sangakarra and Jayawardene form an exceptional trio at the top of the order, and expect big-hitting all-rounder Thisara Perera to announce himself at this tournament. With the bowling Malinga will be the huge threat but whereas in the IPL teams have to attack him, batsman will know there is rubbish just round the corner with Sri Lanka and he will lose some of his effectiveness. A solid showing from the hosts but no more.

Australia

This looks a very good side until you look at a) their recent results and b) their spinners. When you are choosing between Brad Hogg and Xavier Doherty for your spin king for a tournament in the sub-continent you have big problems and these are not ones that can be overcome by Warner and Watson, the most dangerous opening combination in the tournament. George Bailey seems the right choice as captain despite a likely modest personal contribution but he's going to have to be a bloody genius to prevent the Aussies from bleeding runs. Expect their games to be high-scoring.

England

It is impossible to look at England's side and not think "that's a good T20 side.... in 2014". There is plenty of explosive talent in the Hales/Buttler/Bairstow/Finn/Dernbach/Briggs group, but they lack the necessary experience to beat enough of the big teams consistently in order to win this tournament. With the batting, so much rides on Eoin Morgan, but Luke Wright is a real sleeper pick to be the top run scorer if England go far given his T20 form over the past 12 months. Most likely for England it's a learning experience before a real charge at the title in 2014.

Semi-Finalists

India

Whilst their bowling looks very, very soft, the IPL gives this side so much experience that they should get through both group stages unscathed. The batting is outstanding, and the Indian selectors seem to have got the right balance, particularly in surrounding Sehwag with young, talented players giving him full licence to attack without fear of the side being in big trouble if he gets out. A lot will rest on the man below, Virat Kohli, who despite giving the impression that he is a bit of a cock, is the outstanding white ball batsman in the world right now and seems to have got the confidence that he will get runs every time he walks out to bat. A run to the semis then beaten by a side that can contain their batting then take advantage of their bowling.


 
South Africa

Another side stacked with batting, loaded with fast bowling but no spinner worthy of the name. Robin Petersen bowled reasonably in England and Johan Botha has a good reputation as a captain but leadership skills and reasonable performances don’t cut it when a Gayle or Watson is stood at the other end and you need to take the pace of the ball. It’s been a wonderful summer for the Proteas, and you can be sure that AB De Villiers (below) will entertain and Steyn and Morkel will bowl quickly but it’s tough to see them winning a game on a turning track.



Runners-Up

West Indies
The first Test series I ever watched was England v West Indies in 1995, when I was told by my Dad about the superman that came from the Caribbean who could hit the ball miles, bowl at the speed of light and catch anything that moved. The West Indies of my youth have been quite different to those of his, with constant, unyielding disappointment that has shown little sign of ending, with that hopefully ending this tournament.
In Chris Gayle, they have the world’s best T20 batsman. In Sunil Narine, the world’s best T20 bowler. Keiron Pollard is one of the top five T20 players in the world. They have talent, the right captain in Darren Sammy and so many players who bring a lot to this team with both bat and ball. Badree would walk into most other sides and yet it seems unlikely that he will play at all. The main potential weakness is that they have too many hitters and not enough (or any) ballast but they will win matches and they will entertain. I want them to win it in all but in the crunch final, I don’t see their batting coming off against the last remaining side.



Winners

Pakistan
I make no bones about it, I don’t like Pakistani cricket. The whole PCB structure is notoriously corrupt; they should have been thrown out of Test cricket in 2006, then again in 2011, yet coming into this tournament I make them favourites over everyone else. A sort of anti-West Indies, they will play comparatively dull cricket, looking to keep sides below 140 with their array of quality spinners, led by Saeed Ajmal.



Despite having been around international cricket for a few years, I still haven’t seen a batsman who convincingly picks his doosra and his off-break is frankly outstanding as well. He’ll most likely be the main part of a four pronged spin attack, his off-breaks mixed with Mohammed Hafeez’s darts, Shahid Afridi’s bag of mainly leg-spinning tricks and quite possibly Raza Hasan’s left arm spin. Add in Umar Gul and Sohail Tanvir, and there is not a single weak link in that bowling attack. The batting line-up is weak, but has enough talent to chase the succession of simple chases they will be left with.

Winners – Pakistan
Top Run Scorer – Chris Gayle
Top Wicket Taker – Sunil Narine (Pakistan will share them around)
Player of the Tournament – Saeed Ajmal